Triple Draw 2-7
This game is easy. And, even “experts” make bad plays.
I watched a td27 video the other day, and one play really stood out, and has bothered me since.
The guy making the video (it’s two guys, but hey) raised predraw on the button and got callers. To be honest, I don’t remember the exact action. But, after the first draw, “we” had a T98 low. Checked to us, we bet, and get two callers. They both draw two and we’re pat. Check, check, we bet, they both call again. Draw one, draw one, and we BREAK our pat Ten to draw to a 98. Ummmm, what???
Ok, I’m kinda assuming everyone reading this understands the game, so my bad if you don’t. Ask a question in the comments.
Here was their line of thinking. We know that a 9 is about 50% against two one card draws, and is often called a favorite. So, since we have a ten we have to break it as we’re now a dog against two one card draws. Let me see if I can clearly outline the problems with this line:
-If we do improve, it’s only to a 98, which, while it has value, is not a good hand.
-We open ourselves up to be bluffed.
-We’re a dog to improve. There are times to stand pat and later break, but this is not one of them.
-If we stay pat again, only “good” hands (minimum is probably 86) will bet into us, and then we just fold. We never put another bet in the pot. By breaking, we kinda have to bet for value if we catch a 98 and it’s checked to us, and have to call a bet lots of times as a bluffcatcher. We’re opening ourselves up to make bad decisions.
-While we’re a dog against two one card draws, we’re not a big dog. We pick up this pot, without having to put in any more money, a decent % of the time.
Ok, I think that’s it. I feel like this is obvious, and yet I feel I’m not communicating it clearly. Let me know.