Another hand.
I played a long session at the Venetian last night, but one hand sticks out.
Middle aged guy raises to 12 utg+1. The only hand I had seen him play was QJ on a flop of 9TK where he got it in against a set. I have 99. I call. Three other callers. Flop Q98 with two diamonds. He bets 35. I raise to 105. He stacks off for 173 more (so it’s 173 to win about 420, or almost 2.5:1). I thought I was beat. I asked him if he had QQ. He told me he was taking my chips if I called. I said ok, but do you have QQ? He said he had a straight. I said ok. I said I don’t think I can fold. I ended up calling. He shows QQ and somehow I miss my one out.
I think this is a hand I can get away from. I also think a raise to about 85 would have achieved the same result. Of course, I could just be fixated because I lost. I think a lot of players just get it in there and don’t look back. But, realistically, what’s his range? And, how heavily does it need to be weighted to QQ (and JT) for me to correctly fold given the action? Interesting.