Play a hand with me.
I don’t like saying things like “one more orbit” or “until my blind”. When I think it’s time to leave, I usually leave. I’m writing that because despite that, when this hand came up, I was definitely leaving “soon”. I went to the Venetian a little early today to see about afternoon play and get a long session in. I need hours at the table. I lost a little early (pretty much even except for my set against a flush), and when my table broke around 7:30 I decided to take a dinner break. A little Panda later, and I go back for more. I’m up and it’s about time to go, but I may be there for one more hand or another hour, depending.
Anyways, I’m in MP and it’s folded to me. I see Tc9c. I raise to 10. Folds to the sb, who calls, bb folds. We’re heads-up to the T87 rainbow flop. That’s clearly a good flop for me. He checks, I bet 20. He calls. Turn is the Kc, giving me a club draw in addition to my OESD and pair. SB bets out 30, leaving about 50 behind. So, pot is 90. You’re facing a bet of 30 (so, obviously getting about 4-1). Assuming the SB is “reasonable”, what range of hands are you putting him on? Do you call, fold, or raise and why?
December 10th, 2008 at 11:29 am
I put him on K8, or K7 and call the $30 so I can see if I get one of my many outs. Once the out hits, push him for his last $20, which he has to call at that point. Did he flop a set?
December 10th, 2008 at 5:53 pm
He has about 50 more after the turn bet, not 50 total.
December 11th, 2008 at 5:24 pm
Assuming he is the type that will defend his blind with reasonable hands. He might have J9, KT, JT, QT…maybe even K9 or even AK (but unlikely). I dont think he would defend with less than K9 though. If he has J9, he is bet is a flush defender bet.
I can’t see a reasonable player playing any other hands in that situation and then betting $30 in that spot with only $50 left behind. If he has T’s, 7’s or 8’s IMO he is dumb for his flop action.
Hi Jim.
December 11th, 2008 at 5:45 pm
I don’t like it, but I call the turn bet and hope he checks the river if I miss one of my draws. I don’t think he has enough behind for him to fold any hand that beats you. His range is still pretty wide in my mind.
December 11th, 2008 at 5:56 pm
Ok, so I knew the K hit him. The only hand that made sense to me was KJ, but he wasn’t as reasonable as I made him out to be. I decided that I could not fold getting those odds, and additionally, that I didn’t want him to get scared when I hit. I also thought he would fold maybe one time in five, so I went all-in. He actually tanked for quite a bit before calling with K9, meaning that he had gotten very lucky on the turn after I had gotten kinda lucky on the flop. Well, the bad news is that now 6 of my outs are only for a chop, one of them is in his hand, which means two more give the pot to him. So, 11 clear outs. The good news is that I hit my flush.
December 11th, 2008 at 6:13 pm
Nice call. Ia ssume you got up and left at that point?
December 11th, 2008 at 7:17 pm
He didn’t call.
December 12th, 2008 at 11:02 am
Good point.